← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 9/12/2024

SlimesTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 9/12/2024

decks
7 (19.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26 14-11-1
overall winrate
55.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0% avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
52.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1349 · median 1327 · range 1159–1638 (7 pilots with an ELO rating)
1159 Q1 1215 Q3 1428 1656
14% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 29% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 16.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Wind Allies 11.1% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 50.0% +0.0
Water Astra Cleric 8.3% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 49.3% -0.5
Fire Crux Hybrid 5.6% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 49.1% -0.7
Water Luxem Assassin 5.6% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 49.7% -0.3
Wind Neos 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.9% +1.4
Fire Arcane 2.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.3% +1.2
Fire Crux Merlin 2.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Erupting 2.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.2% -1.3
Water Astra Arisanna 2.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Water Neos 2.8% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 2.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 50.9% +0.9
Water Tera Silvie 2.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.6% +0.6
Water Umbra Ranger 2.8% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.5
Wind Shadowstrike 2.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.2% -0.8
Wind Silvie 2.8% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 2.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Vampiric Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Ordinary Bear +1.00 1 0 0
Slimeshield +1.00 1 0 0
Slime's Blessing +1.00 1 0 0
Lustrous Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Meadowbloom Dryad +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Baby Blue Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace -1.00 0 1 0
Gaia's Songbird -1.00 0 1 0
Slime Eruption -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram -1.00 0 1 0
Verdant Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Beastbond Ears +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/10578/archetypes/Slimes