← HeldenTaverne Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 1
at HeldenTaverne Store Championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
69.5%
avg ELO +10.4 per match
expected value
58.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1214
· median 1214
· range 1214–1214
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1124
Q3 1209
1454
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Arcane | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
