Water AlliesTier 2
at AK TCGKL Constructed Event
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1325
· median 1325
· range 1315–1335
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
956
Q1 1193
Q3 1392
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Silvie | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
