← Store Championship - Alchemical Revolution - Wombat Games
Water Astra ClericTier 2
at Store Championship - Alchemical Revolution - Wombat Games
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Barter Herbs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tide Diviner | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Caretaker Drone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sealed Blade | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flash Freeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Glitter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stream of Consciousness | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prototype Staff | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Awakened Deacon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frostsworn Paladin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harvest Herbs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Snow | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Insight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wand of Frost | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Conjure Downpour | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Magus Disciple | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Astral Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Astra Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Academy Attendant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Torrential Blast | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rimesoul Bishop | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Frostbinder Apostle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Foraging Servant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Potion of Healing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Refracting Missile | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |