← CM Hamilton AMB Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CM Hamilton AMB Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 58.1% | 53.3% | 51.2% | 1341 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 48.4% | 53.3% | 49.2% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 50.0% | 50.3% | 1275 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.8% | 50.0% | 51.5% | 1321 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Slimes | 3 | 37.5% | 5 | 30.0% | 44.6% | 46.0% | 48.7% | 1169 | ↓ low |