EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at FInal Boss AMB Store Champs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 100.0% | 61.8% | 64.4% | 58.6% | 1452 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 53.1% | 46.7% | 53.3% | 1266 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Slimes | 2 | 50.0% | 3 | 16.7% | 35.6% | 41.7% | 41.1% | 1557 | ↑ top |