EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at IKI STORE CHAMPIOSHIP AMB.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 75.0% | 63.1% | 55.1% | 54.1% | 1359 | — |
| 2 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 12.5% | 6 | 58.3% | 56.8% | 52.8% | 54.3% | 1332 | — |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 3 | 18.8% | 13 | 46.2% | 46.9% | 52.0% | 50.9% | 1288 | — |
| 4 | Slimes | 4 | 25.0% | 12 | 58.3% | 55.4% | 50.1% | 50.2% | 1306 | — |
| 5 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 43.9% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.2% | 48.9% | 49.2% | 1446 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 46.7% | 47.4% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 36.2% | 45.0% | 44.5% | 1437 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.1% | 44.4% | 43.5% | 1508 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 12.5% | 36.6% | 43.3% | 45.6% | 1115 | ↓ low |