Fire ArcaneTier 2
at 貓腳印雄二店 店冠賽
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.0%
avg ELO +7.1 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1523
· median 1523
· range 1523–1523
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1147
Q1 1247
Q3 1352
1523
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.3% | -4.5 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Wind Beast | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
