← The Card Shop PLT Mortal Ambition Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Card Shop PLT Mortal Ambition Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 90.0% | 62.0% | 62.9% | 56.8% | 1315 | — |
| 2 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 62.5% | 55.2% | 53.9% | 53.1% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Slimes | 2 | 25.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 61.8% | 53.3% | 55.8% | 1400 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 37.5% | 47.4% | 46.0% | 47.4% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 33.0% | 42.5% | 41.0% | 1505 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 37.2% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 42.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | 1387 | — |