← Mortal Ambition - Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Mortal Ambition - Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 83.3% | 65.5% | 56.7% | 57.3% | 1261 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 47.5% | 1463 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Diana | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 37.7% | 45.0% | 42.6% | 1357 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 46.2% | 45.0% | 47.7% | 1233 | — |