← AMB - Arcanum Sanctorum Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at AMB - Arcanum Sanctorum Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 67.2% | 56.0% | 57.5% | 1333 | — |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 48.8% | 54.0% | 49.0% | 1373 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 12.5% | 6 | 66.7% | 61.4% | 53.7% | 54.3% | 1279 | — |
| 4 | Fire Exia | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 64.3% | 52.5% | 55.7% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 54.4% | 52.5% | 51.8% | 1597 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 59.5% | 52.5% | 53.8% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 49.1% | 52.0% | 47.1% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Neos Tonoris | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 37.0% | 47.5% | 44.8% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 48.1% | 47.5% | 49.2% | 1132 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 43.1% | 46.0% | 45.9% | 1123 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 46.4% | 45.8% | 47.5% | 1151 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Neos | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.5% | 45.0% | 47.0% | 1085 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 38.2% | 45.0% | 45.3% | 1160 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 12.5% | 38.3% | 42.5% | 45.3% | 1250 | — |