← VPC Grand Archive Store Championship - ALC Season
Water AlliesTier 2
at VPC Grand Archive Store Championship - ALC Season
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-2-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.3%
avg ELO -9.3 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1276
· median 1276
· range 1164–1387
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1115
Q1 1214
Q3 1377
1678
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
