← Grand Archive WA Regionals @ Good Games Rockingham
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive WA Regionals @ Good Games Rockingham.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 100.0% | 65.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | 1337 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 63.5% | 56.0% | 55.9% | 1246 | — |
| 3 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 62.9% | 56.0% | 55.5% | 1213 | — |
| 4 | Fire Silvie | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 46.7% | 54.2% | 48.5% | 1351 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.2% | 52.0% | 51.9% | 1284 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 2 | 20.0% | 8 | 43.8% | 54.3% | 48.1% | 51.1% | 1145 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Slimes | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.1% | 45.0% | 46.4% | 1177 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.7% | 44.0% | 44.0% | 1173 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 25.5% | 36.7% | 36.7% | 1122 | ↓ low |