← Mortal Ambition Store Championship

SlimesTier 1

at Mortal Ambition Store Championship

decks
2 (18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3% avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
53.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1153 · median 1153 · range 1094–1212 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094 Q1 1134 Q3 1346 1517
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Razorgale 27.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.8% +15.2
Fire Aggro 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.5% -18.4
Fire Slimes 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.9% -6.6
Water Allies 9.1% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.4% -7.4
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 0
Wind Silvie 9.1% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 10 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 10 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Vampiric Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Entrancing Filigree -1.00 0 1 0
Blissful Calling +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Scavenging Raccoon +1.00 1 0 0
Tera Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram +1.00 1 0 0
Slime Eruption +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Twilight Slime -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/14417/archetypes/Slimes