EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at AMB Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 83.3% | 61.8% | 59.2% | 55.8% | 1528 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 54.3% | 50.0% | 54.3% | 1349 | — |
| 3 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 43.1% | 46.7% | 43.6% | 1549 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Diana | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 40.4% | 40.0% | 40.4% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Tera Silvie | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 47.3% | 40.0% | 47.3% | 1088 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 43.1% | 33.3% | 43.1% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1323 | — |