Water AlliesTier 2
at GGM Store Championship
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-2-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.3%
avg ELO -11.2 per match
expected value
33.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
38.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1283
· median 1283
· range 1283–1283
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
985
Q1 1208
Q3 1303
1446
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 15.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.3% | -11.2 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
