← AMB Store Champs @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at AMB Store Champs @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-0-2
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
72.2%
avg ELO +10.6 per match
expected value
61.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
60.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1470
· median 1470
· range 1341–1599
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1234
Q3 1402
1599
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 18.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 18.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 66.6% | +15.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +3.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
