Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Store champion!!
decks
1
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
3-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.3%
avg ELO +9.2 per match
expected value
64.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1550
· median 1550
· range 1550–1550
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1119
Q1 1164
Q3 1286
1550
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 50.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.2% | +9.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
