← CardArt Store Championship Alchemical Revolution
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CardArt Store Championship Alchemical Revolution .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 2 | 28.6% | 5 | 100.0% | 73.5% | 65.0% | 62.8% | 1411 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 14.3% | 1 | 100.0% | 59.9% | 60.0% | 59.9% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 14.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 43.1% | 40.0% | 43.1% | 1327 | — |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 28.6% | 3 | 0.0% | 30.1% | 35.6% | 36.8% | 1281 | — |
| 5 | Water Allies | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 35.4% | 33.3% | 35.4% | 1352 | — |