← Cardlab store championship 01 Dec
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Cardlab store championship 01 Dec.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Water Penguin Mill
55.4%
↑ top
1st
Wind Razorgale
58.1%
↑ top
3rd
Water Neos Tonoris
52.0%
↑ top
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 83.3% | 66.6% | 58.1% | 57.0% | 1516 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 62.5% | 55.7% | 55.4% | 54.2% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Neos Tonoris | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 52.0% | 52.2% | 1499 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 41.8% | 50.0% | 46.1% | 1518 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 54.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | 1171 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 37.0% | 45.0% | 45.0% | 1311 | — |
| 7 | Water Allies | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 36.3% | 42.5% | 44.5% | 1469 | ↑ top |