← Store Championships @ Retro Exchange
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Store Championships @ Retro Exchange
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-4-1
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1390
· median 1390
· range 1262–1517
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1190
Q3 1349
1517
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Wind Tonoris | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
