← Cardboardia ALC Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Cardboardia ALC Store Championship
decks
1
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-2-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.2%
avg ELO -12.3 per match
expected value
33.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
37.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1394
· median 1394
· range 1394–1394
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1189
Q3 1377
1495
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Tera Silvie | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.2% | -12.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
