← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 12/12/2024
Water AlliesTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 12/12/2024
decks
3
(8.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-2-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1434
· median 1427
· range 1340–1535
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1200
Q3 1426
1593
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Allies | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
