← Curio Cavern AMB Store Championships
Water AlliesTier 2
at Curio Cavern AMB Store Championships
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1262
· median 1262
· range 1262–1262
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1209
Q3 1412
1507
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Fire Exia | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Slimes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
