← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 12/19
Water AlliesTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 12/19
decks
4
(8.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
11-5-0
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
58.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1507
· median 1526
· range 1427–1548
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1193
Q3 1451
1656
75% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.0% | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | 70.0% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Silvie | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.0% | -0.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
