Water Crux LorraineTier 1
at GA Store Championship
decks
1
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
1
0-0-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.5%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1111
· median 1111
· range 1111–1111
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1132
Q3 1240
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
