← Valkyrie Games Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Valkyrie Games Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 100.0% | 72.8% | 60.0% | 58.7% | 1198 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Lorraine | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 60.5% | 54.2% | 56.3% | 1169 | — |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.4% | 52.0% | 53.4% | 1107 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Exia | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.4% | 52.0% | 53.4% | 1107 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 43.8% | 52.0% | 49.6% | 1259 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 18.2% | 9 | 50.0% | 42.7% | 49.8% | 47.2% | 1258 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 43.8% | 46.2% | 47.7% | 48.0% | 1070 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Polkhawk | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.1% | 46.7% | 47.1% | 1285 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Slimes | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 52.0% | 45.0% | 49.4% | 991 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Tera Silvie | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 12.5% | 34.3% | 40.7% | 42.9% | 1071 | ↓ low |