Fire Umbra RangerTier 1
at Grand Library League 大圖書館聯賽
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-1-3
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1196
· median 1196
· range 1176–1217
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1176
Q1 1203
Q3 1236
1285
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 22.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.4% | -1.5 |
| Fire Diana | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Fire Vanitas | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Lorraine | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
