Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 店冠
decks
1
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
1
0-1-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.0%
avg ELO -9.7 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1419
· median 1419
· range 1419–1419
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1236
Q1 1307
Q3 1396
1419
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
