← Yeti Webcam Weekly 1/18/2025

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Weekly 1/18/2025. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 8.3% 4 100.0% 52.1% 64.0% 51.1% 1439 ↑ top
2 Wind Razorgale 3 25.0% 9 66.7% 51.5% 57.7% 50.9% 1410
3 Water Allies 1 8.3% 4 62.5% 51.0% 54.0% 50.5% 1541 ↑ top
4 Wind Shadowstrike 1 8.3% 4 50.0% 49.5% 50.0% 49.7% 1200 ↓ low
5 Wind Astra Cleric 1 8.3% 4 37.5% 49.0% 45.0% 49.4% 1388
6 Slimes 2 16.7% 7 42.9% 49.3% 42.1% 49.2% 1414
7 Fire Aggro 1 8.3% 4 25.0% 49.2% 41.7% 49.4% 1179 ↓ low
8 Water Kongming 1 8.3% 2 0.0% 48.5% 40.0% 49.0% 1359
9 Water Tera Mage 1 8.3% 2 0.0% 48.5% 40.0% 49.1% 1194 ↓ low