← GFM - Mortal Ambition Store Championship 2025
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GFM - Mortal Ambition Store Championship 2025.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 75.0% | 54.9% | 53.3% | 51.4% | 1408 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 55.4% | 52.5% | 52.5% | 1391 | — |
| 3 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 56.3% | 50.0% | 53.8% | 1331 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Luxem Zander | 2 | 25.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 39.6% | 46.7% | 44.7% | 1579 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 42.5% | 40.0% | 42.5% | 1593 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1406 | — |