← DeckaDice Grand Archive Store Championship AMB

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DeckaDice Grand Archive Store Championship AMB. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Silvie 1 7.7% 6 83.3% 60.2% 58.9% 54.1% 1410 ↑ top
2 Water Crux Mage 1 7.7% 4 62.5% 53.3% 55.3% 53.1% 1502 ↑ top
3 Water Allies 2 15.4% 9 55.6% 56.7% 53.5% 53.8% 1277
4 Water Penguin Mill 1 7.7% 5 60.0% 50.1% 53.3% 50.5% 1447 ↑ top
5 Fire Exia 1 7.7% 5 60.0% 47.9% 50.0% 47.8% 1314
6 Fire Aggro 2 15.4% 8 50.0% 52.5% 49.0% 49.9% 1252
7 Water Astra Cleric 1 7.7% 3 33.3% 46.0% 46.7% 48.1% 1303
8 Wind Razorgale 1 7.7% 4 37.5% 49.1% 46.7% 48.7% 1223
9 Fire Polkhawk 1 7.7% 3 33.3% 48.7% 45.0% 47.4% 1080 ↓ low
10 Slimes 1 7.7% 4 25.0% 40.5% 45.0% 45.8% 1100 ↓ low
11 Fire Arcane 1 7.7% 3 0.0% 34.8% 40.0% 43.0% 1070 ↓ low