Fire AggroTier 2
at Gaming DNA ALC Store Champs
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-5-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
22.0%
avg ELO -16.1 per match
expected value
38.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1264
· median 1264
· range 1179–1349
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1116
Q3 1349
1513
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 23.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.5 |
| Fire Erupting | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Wind Allies | 15.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.1% | -18.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
