RogueTier 1
at 20240331貓腳印宜蘭店大圖書館盃
decks
2
(50.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.6%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
58.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1259
· median 1259
· range 1187–1332
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1158
Q1 1187
Q3 1297
1464
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 25.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 25.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.1% | +3.0 |