Wind AlliesTier 1
at March Sunday EU weeklies!
decks
2
(50.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
1-1-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1404
· median 1404
· range 1339–1468
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1212
Q3 1387
1468
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Arcane | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
