← Abyssal Heaven Store Championship

Water GenbuTier 1

at Abyssal Heaven Store Championship

decks
1 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2 1-0-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.1% avg ELO +5.9 per match
expected value
56.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1324 · median 1324 · range 1324–1324 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1014 Q1 1234 Q3 1301 1356
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 50.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.0% +9.6
Wind Shadowstrike 25.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.3% +2.1
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22006/archetypes/Water Genbu