EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at LLE HVN Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 91.7% | 54.5% | 68.1% | 52.8% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 2 | 25.0% | 9 | 55.6% | 61.0% | 56.8% | 58.3% | 1351 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.3% | 46.0% | 48.4% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.7% | 46.0% | 48.8% | 1443 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 45.9% | 44.4% | 48.7% | 1346 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 37.6% | 43.4% | 42.7% | 1366 | ↑ top |