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Water Luxem AssassinTier 1

at CM Hamilton HVN Store Championship

decks
1 (12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.4% avg ELO +9.8 per match
expected value
55.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1074 · median 1074 · range 1074–1074 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1043 Q1 1113 Q3 1361 1546
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 12.5% 0
Fire Exia 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.2% +17.9
Fire Firebloom Burn 12.5% 0
Water Allies 12.5% 0
Water Genbu 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.7% -3.6
Wind Allies 12.5% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 12.5% 0
Wind Razorgale 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.8% +12.5
Wind Tera Cleric 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.8% +12.5
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22146/archetypes/Water Luxem Assassin