← Draagoons - HVN Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Draagoons - HVN Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 20.0% | 7 | 71.4% | 64.4% | 55.7% | 55.5% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 58.4% | 55.0% | 53.1% | 1359 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 52.1% | 52.7% | 50.2% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 35.4% | 48.0% | 44.0% | 1446 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 2 | 20.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 61.1% | 47.7% | 52.1% | 1306 | — |
| 6 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 36.0% | 44.0% | 41.3% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 42.3% | 40.0% | 45.4% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 34.1% | 40.0% | 40.6% | 1385 | ↑ top |