← HVN Store Championships (Road to Regionals) @ Favonia HQ (IPOH)
Fire AggroTier 1
at HVN Store Championships (Road to Regionals) @ Favonia HQ (IPOH)
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-0-1
overall winrate
91.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.7%
avg ELO +5.7 per match
expected value
59.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1610
· median 1610
· range 1610–1610
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1268
Q3 1428
1610
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 23.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 7.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.5% | +1.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
