EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 75.0% | 60.3% | 55.0% | 56.2% | 1307 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 75.0% | 50.5% | 55.0% | 50.3% | 1474 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 41.4% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1282 | — |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 45.7% | 40.0% | 45.7% | 1327 | ↑ top |