← HVN Store Championship @ Pichubros Home
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HVN Store Championship @ Pichubros Home.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 25.0% | 4 | 87.5% | 56.4% | 62.5% | 54.2% | 1532 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 25.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 50.0% | 51.7% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.2% | 46.7% | 50.6% | 1285 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 16.7% | 40.7% | 40.8% | 43.5% | 1304 | — |