Time Capsule Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	25.0%	3-4-0	42.9%	46.9%	48.3%	49.0%	1200	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	25.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	34.5%	44.3%	42.3%	1426	↑ top
3		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	49.3%	57.8%	52.8%	1231	—
4		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	12.5%	5-0-0	100.0%	76.0%	69.0%	67.5%	1385	↑ top
5		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	34.7%	40.0%	40.8%	1381	↑ top
6		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	53.0%	42.2%	49.0%	1192	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 25.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 12.5%