Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Store championship
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-1-2
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.8%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
57.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1430
· median 1430
· range 1397–1463
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1170
Q3 1397
1476
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.7% | +7.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -3.1 |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 48.4% | -1.5 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
