Fire ExiaTier 1
at Store Championship!!!!!
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1397
· median 1397
· range 1397–1397
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1180
Q3 1350
1476
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.2 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
