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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Store Champion

decks
2 (12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 4-2-2
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.5% avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
52.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1445 · median 1445 · range 1428–1463 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075 Q1 1208 Q3 1399 1522
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Genbu 12.5% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 51.9% +1.8
Wind Seiryuu 12.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 55.4% +5.2
Fire Seiryuu 6.2% 0
Fire Slimes 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.4% +11.9
Slimes 6.2% 0
Water Allies 6.2% 0
Water Fractal 6.2% 0
Wind Allies 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.7% +12.3
Wind Astra Cleric 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.2% -17.2
Wind Byakko 6.2% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 6.2% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.4% +11.9
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 9 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 9 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Diablerie -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Mystic Purifier +1.00 1 0 0
Slice and Dice -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver -1.00 0 1 0
Brackish Lutist +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/22467/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike