← FTG Abysaal Heaven Store Championship
Water TonorisTier 1
at FTG Abysaal Heaven Store Championship
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.1%
avg ELO +10.3 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1153
· median 1153
· range 1153–1153
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1099
Q1 1164
Q3 1367
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.8% | +8.5 |
| Water Genbu | 13.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
