← HeldenTaverne Jena Store Championship
Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at HeldenTaverne Jena Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.7%
avg ELO -4.0 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1157
· median 1157
· range 1157–1157
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1109
Q1 1157
Q3 1256
1490
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Wind Exia | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
