← Grand Archive Store Champs at VPC - HVN
Water TonorisTier 2
at Grand Archive Store Champs at VPC - HVN
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
1
0-1-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.8%
avg ELO -22.7 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
35.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1678
· median 1678
· range 1678–1678
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1069
Q1 1193
Q3 1430
1678
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
