← Forest City Grand Archive Store Champs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Forest City Grand Archive Store Champs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 49.1% | 53.3% | 48.1% | 1298 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 62.1% | 50.0% | 52.8% | 1153 | — |
| 3 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 40.9% | 50.0% | 45.8% | 1359 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.1% | 50.0% | 52.2% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 51.5% | 50.0% | 54.1% | 1033 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.4% | 50.0% | 49.1% | 1145 | — |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.5% | 47.5% | 47.7% | 1210 | — |